Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.030190 0.032985 0.035740 0.038656 0.041649 0.044626 0.047808
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.024357 0.028862 0.033417 0.038340 0.043489 0.048695 0.054340
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019935 0.025539 0.031336 0.037716 0.044487 0.051417 0.059006
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.016736 0.023133 0.029893 0.037447 0.045563 0.053945 0.063195
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.014578 0.021630 0.029225 0.037825 0.047151 0.056854 0.067621
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011999 0.019446 0.027650 0.037074 0.047399 0.058219 0.070296
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.010184 0.017989 0.026770 0.036985 0.048269 0.060167 0.073505
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.008434 0.016469 0.025724 0.036628 0.048777 0.061658 0.076161
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006791 0.014943 0.024583 0.036096 0.049030 0.062820 0.078409
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004895 0.012913 0.022752 0.034705 0.048270 0.062829 0.079364
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004325 0.012588 0.022917 0.035568 0.049990 0.065513 0.083177
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003674 0.012086 0.022834 0.036114 0.051329 0.067755 0.086487
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002479 0.010753 0.021810 0.035698 0.051751 0.069173 0.089114
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001439 0.009462 0.020808 0.035321 0.052248 0.070720 0.091939
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000571 0.008113 0.019646 0.034702 0.052436 0.071897 0.094335
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.007079 0.018820 0.034439 0.052994 0.073452 0.097112
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006480 0.018537 0.034806 0.054250 0.075761 0.100691
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005339 0.017402 0.034076 0.054200 0.076579 0.102600
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004618 0.016811 0.033989 0.054873 0.078184 0.105353
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003831 0.016043 0.033642 0.055215 0.079395 0.107649
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003037 0.015171 0.033126 0.055330 0.080328 0.109615
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001989 0.013698 0.031775 0.054420 0.080072 0.110236
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001878 0.013897 0.032612 0.056115 0.082768 0.114131